PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xEFD99258Ef67c828B7767370A03e2342709714D6-1779536238530

0xefd99258ef67c828b7767370a03e2342709714d6

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$142.8k
Markets traded
274
Open portfolio
$683.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded274
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3500.305$435.71$64.28
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1050.065$247.82$152.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Down0.0550.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Down0.5040.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Down0.1490.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Down0.0900.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Up0.0770.000$0.00$35.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET · Down0.1090.000$0.00$14.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Up0.3500.000$0.00$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 22:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$30.00
08-28 23:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29?BUY0.0279999991$30.00
08-09 23:33Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
08-08 20:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.149999976$5.00
08-07 12:34Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.081300813$5.00
08-05 23:28Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETBUY0.359999977$5.00
08-05 23:22Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETBUY0.059999989$5.00
08-05 23:22Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETBUY0.19$9.62
08-05 22:57Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.32$5.00
08-05 22:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETBUY0.289999964$5.00
08-05 22:49Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETSELL0.9$54.80
08-05 22:47Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.1199999808$5.00
08-05 22:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.2599999646$5.00
08-05 22:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.3399999633$5.00
08-05 22:39Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.01$5.00