0xEFD99258Ef67c828B7767370A03e2342709714D6-1779536238530
0xefd99258ef67c828b7767370a03e2342709714d6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $142.8k
- Markets traded
- 274
- Open portfolio
- $683.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded274
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$809.44at 0.300Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$562.56at 0.474Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
- +$258.63at 0.039Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
- +$139.35at 0.071Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
- +$132.15at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $30.00 |
| 08-28 23:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.0279999991 | $30.00 |
| 08-09 23:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 20:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 12:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.081300813 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 23:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 23:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 23:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.19 | $9.62 |
| 08-05 22:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 22:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 22:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $54.80 |
| 08-05 22:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 22:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 22:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 22:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |