PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xefcedda09b4f2224c856edbd9c41c1d6db124e4a

Realised P&L
$-63.9k
Volume
$7.20M
Markets traded
3,628
Open portfolio
$15.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,628
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7600.998$1.5k+$365.56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.7700.987$1.5k+$336.33
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7390.805$1.3k+$107.17
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7300.795$1.3k+$106.85
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.9100.935$1.2k+$32.97
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.5200.580$1.2k+$122.02
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.3200.325$1.1k+$17.69
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes0.0290.031$965.40+$62.28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.6930.540$930.06$264.28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.7600.905$893.09+$143.09
Iran leadership change by August 31? · No0.8900.977$833.10+$73.80
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No0.4600.265$589.50$433.78
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.4400.225$579.19$553.45
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.6580.350$569.89$502.34
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.3700.365$567.85$7.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:18Israel closes its airspace by August 15?SELL0.8724576961$407.32
08-02 17:57Israel closes its airspace by August 15?SELL0.87$15.37
08-02 07:24US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.57$4.71
08-02 07:15US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.53$149.20
08-02 03:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.94$1.7k
08-02 03:26Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.94$0.20
08-02 03:26Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.94$1.56
08-02 03:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.94$0.14
08-02 03:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.94$1.10
08-02 03:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.94$0.48
08-02 03:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.94$0.11
08-02 03:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.94$0.90
08-02 02:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.35$67.85
08-02 00:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.77$1.2k
08-01 23:50Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?BUY0.25$97.28