0xefcedda09b4f2224c856edbd9c41c1d6db124e4a
- Realised P&L
- $-76.3k
- Volume
- $7.38M
- Markets traded
- 3,668
- Open portfolio
- $18.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,668
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.9kat 0.034Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$7.8kat 0.060Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?
- +$7.3kat 0.12076ers vs. Celtics
- +$7.2kat 0.351Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?
- +$6.1kat 0.140Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 07:03 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $49.16 |
| 09-11 06:44 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $41.11 |
| 09-11 00:46 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | SELL | 0.35 | $46.30 |
| 09-10 20:46 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4175675041 | $17.78 |
| 09-10 13:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $4.49 |
| 09-10 13:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $32.56 |
| 09-10 06:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $0.71 |
| 09-09 11:57 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | SELL | 0.3 | $4.37 |
| 09-09 11:51 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-09 09:36 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.35 |
| 09-09 09:35 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.54 |
| 09-09 07:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $1.1k |
| 09-09 07:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.52 | $1.3k |
| 09-09 06:49 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | SELL | 0.24 | $5.56 |
| 09-09 06:49 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.30 |