0xefcedda09b4f2224c856edbd9c41c1d6db124e4a
- Realised P&L
- $-63.9k
- Volume
- $7.20M
- Markets traded
- 3,628
- Open portfolio
- $15.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,628
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.9kat 0.034Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$7.8kat 0.060Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?
- +$7.3kat 0.12076ers vs. Celtics
- +$6.1kat 0.140Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
- +$6.0kat 0.417Golden Knights vs. Kings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:18 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.8724576961 | $407.32 |
| 08-02 17:57 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.87 | $15.37 |
| 08-02 07:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $4.71 |
| 08-02 07:15 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $149.20 |
| 08-02 03:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.7k |
| 08-02 03:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.20 |
| 08-02 03:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.56 |
| 08-02 03:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.14 |
| 08-02 03:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 03:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.48 |
| 08-02 03:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.11 |
| 08-02 03:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.90 |
| 08-02 02:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.35 | $67.85 |
| 08-02 00:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.2k |
| 08-01 23:50 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $97.28 |