0xEfbD0DCc0501EeC9a212A7935d7aE31F43228086-1758206606613
0xefbd0dcc0501eec9a212a7935d7ae31f43228086
- Realised P&L
- $-33.3k
- Volume
- $1.22M
- Markets traded
- 530
- Open portfolio
- $0.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded530
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.345Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
- +$2.7kat 0.139Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
- +$1.5kat 0.405Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.5kat 0.270Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?
- +$1.4kat 0.160Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 12:42 | Will Manchester City vs. Inter Milano end in a draw? | SELL | 0.35 | $36.57 |
| 08-01 12:13 | Will Manchester City vs. Inter Milano end in a draw? | BUY | 0.31 | $64.79 |
| 08-01 11:15 | Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.2 | $80.00 |
| 08-01 11:06 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.59 | $80.96 |
| 08-01 09:04 | Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.68 | $117.99 |
| 08-01 09:03 | Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $192.00 |
| 07-19 21:54 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.91131831 | $911.32 |
| 07-19 21:47 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.8975 | $641.71 |
| 07-19 21:22 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7025 | $502.29 |
| 07-19 20:24 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.26 | $274.56 |
| 07-19 19:34 | Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime? | SELL | 0.64 | $354.94 |
| 07-19 06:42 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3175 | $263.20 |
| 07-19 06:41 | Spain to score first vs. Argentina? | BUY | 0.54 | $324.00 |
| 07-19 06:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.48 | $266.20 |
| 07-19 06:39 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.16 | $170.24 |