0xefbb58798af90708086e9afd426b065c7dd9f4da
0xefbb58798af90708086e9afd426b065c7dd9f4da
- Realised P&L
- $10.49
- Volume
- $185.46
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $4.14
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 6? · No | 0.510 | 0.505 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.395 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.665 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.405 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · No | 0.210 | 0.130 | $0.62 | −$0.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.14at 0.247Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.68at 0.379SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 00:20 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 6? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:08 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:58 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:58 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:53 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:06 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:54 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 00:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 15:57 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:30 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 23:29 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 15:19 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:43 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 21:42 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:38 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |