0xefb70577dc01cee93601053a2d18d419827a0870
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $42.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.590U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?
- +$177.59at 0.710Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
- +$142.24at 0.988Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?
- +$61.95at 0.710Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
- +$35.24at 0.995US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:51 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | SELL | 0.08 | $23.76 |
| 11-02 03:51 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | SELL | 0.0807725731 | $334.56 |
| 11-02 03:38 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.56 |
| 11-01 07:08 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.9k |
| 11-01 06:21 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $328.67 |
| 11-01 04:42 | Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out by October 31? | BUY | 0.9939275795 | $199.69 |
| 11-01 04:40 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $819.17 |
| 11-01 04:16 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9982696363 | $740.46 |
| 11-01 04:11 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.9976996357 | $1.9k |
| 11-01 03:31 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $436.35 |
| 11-01 02:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9986377245 | $2.8k |
| 11-01 00:59 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $134.40 |
| 11-01 00:50 | Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.998356805 | $972.91 |
| 11-01 00:44 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.5756652174 | $39.72 |
| 11-01 00:44 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $338.07 |