PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xefb6cd656d66582631ac006e05aad80f7fe39f30

Realised P&L
$22.00
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
117
Open portfolio
$35.44

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded117
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18? · Yes0.3511.000$14.24+$9.24
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5000.595$5.95+$0.95
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? · Yes0.9591.000$5.21+$0.21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19? · Yes0.7690.779$5.07+$0.07
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · No0.6200.615$4.96$0.04
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-26? · No0.4100.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin above 77,400 on August 23, 11AM ET? · Yes0.7550.000$0.00$10.00
49ers vs. Chargers · Chargers0.4800.000$0.00$5.00
Will RFC Liege win on 2026-08-23? · No0.6300.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16? · No0.1680.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 25? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00$5.00
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-07? · No0.5800.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11? · No0.3290.000$0.00$5.00
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-09-05? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$5.00
Will AEK win on 2026-08-26? · No0.3400.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 14:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?BUY0.9589999992$5.00
09-18 14:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19?BUY0.7689999982$5.00
09-18 05:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18?BUY0.3509999814$5.00
09-17 00:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17?BUY0.6799999728$5.00
09-16 18:19Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.5599999642$5.00
09-16 01:56Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.44$4.15
09-15 22:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?BUY0.1679999987$5.00
09-15 19:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16?BUY0.4899999824$5.00
09-15 14:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15?SELL0.57$6.88
09-15 08:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?SELL0.08$0.64
09-15 08:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15?SELL0.01$0.26
09-15 08:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15?BUY0.2069999946$5.00
09-14 18:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15?BUY0.1959999929$5.00
09-14 15:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
09-14 04:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?SELL0.048$0.83