PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mgrtad

0xefb133e73c55de31da3afc84275b41111e6dd4c3

Realised P&L
$20.67
Volume
$47.1k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$12.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17? · Yes0.9930.993$12.91+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 01:03Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?SELL0.755$3.08
08-14 03:47Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.97$2.97
07-23 03:36Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?SELL0.948$4.11
06-12 00:03Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?SELL0.9$4.73
06-12 00:03Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.848$2.63
06-12 00:03Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?SELL0.823$5.66
06-12 00:03Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?SELL0.54$1.56
05-26 13:08Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$2.06
05-14 13:31Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.9299999962$4.90
05-13 17:36Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?BUY0.9789999953$4.00
04-20 13:15Netanyahu out by June 30?BUY0.9399999906$4.00
04-18 11:16Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?BUY0.9819999938$2.20
04-17 23:13Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9329999589$4.22
04-16 18:20Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.9619999853$5.76
04-12 08:55Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9789999977$3.00