0xEfa89eb9d27598d7d8630dab43b92bc03f6C1555-1776091017791
0xefa89eb9d27598d7d8630dab43b92bc03f6c1555
- Realised P&L
- $-456.68
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $113.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.056 | $113.59 | −$460.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.30at 0.753Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
- +$-0.59at 0.710Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 02:38 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6159327861 | $30.00 |
| 06-08 02:38 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 04-18 04:42 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 04-18 04:42 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3299999978 | $60.00 |
| 04-18 04:41 | Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | SELL | 0.8335976665 | $44.30 |
| 04-17 13:37 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3119367808 | $45.00 |
| 04-17 13:36 | Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | SELL | 0.7 | $41.40 |
| 04-17 01:55 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 23:40 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2699999963 | $50.00 |
| 04-16 19:42 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 04-16 00:34 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |
| 04-15 22:06 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2699999937 | $30.00 |
| 04-15 14:30 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2699999937 | $30.00 |
| 04-15 14:29 | Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 04-15 05:48 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |