PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

4gacad6eklxi

0xef9edf2b96c688a69c83c0c84bdb129a6335150c

Realised P&L
$-279.39
Volume
$21.1k
Markets traded
3,436
Open portfolio
$52.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,436
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5100.405$34.94$9.06
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.7250.475$7.86$4.14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8050.600$3.80$1.30
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9150.952$2.08+$0.08
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2450.115$1.88$2.12
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5200.325$1.25$0.75
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? · Yes0.1950.070$0.96$1.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 21:42Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?SELL0.18$1.22
09-15 09:31Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?BUY0.2011975884$2.00
09-15 06:51Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5199999792$2.00
09-11 18:41Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?BUY0.1899999962$2.00
09-11 09:13Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?SELL0.903$2.06
09-11 07:54Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?SELL0.22$0.58
09-11 07:00Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?SELL0.3$0.02
09-11 06:41Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?SELL0.19$1.00
09-11 06:41Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?SELL0.28$1.26
09-10 06:39Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?BUY0.16$2.00
09-06 16:03Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?SELL0.09$2.85
09-06 08:06Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?BUY0.0909090909$1.00
09-06 07:42Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?BUY0.14$1.03
09-06 07:38Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?BUY0.14999994$2.00
09-05 11:51Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.21$2.57