PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sparrow888

0xef98c34d008b43152f1963d380749c2c624bbf8a

Realised P&L
$-99.79
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
258
Open portfolio
$22.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded258
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration3.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8? · No0.8700.940$4.70+$0.35
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · No0.8800.875$4.38−$0.03
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? · Down0.6700.850$4.25+$0.90
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9? · Yes0.7400.605$3.02−$0.68
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11? · Yes0.6700.580$2.90−$0.45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12? · Yes0.6400.560$2.80−$0.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$4.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00−$4.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00−$2.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$2.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00−$3.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00−$4.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$2.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$2.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 10:31Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?BUY0.88$4.40
10-08 09:23Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?BUY0.67$3.35
10-08 09:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?BUY0.67$3.35
10-08 09:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?BUY0.64$3.20
10-08 09:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?BUY0.74$3.70
10-08 09:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?BUY0.87$4.35