sparrow888
0xef98c34d008b43152f1963d380749c2c624bbf8a
- Realised P&L
- $-99.79
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 258
- Open portfolio
- $22.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded258
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.50at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
- +$5.40at 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
- +$5.30at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
- +$5.20at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$5.20at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 10:31 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 10-08 09:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 10-08 09:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 10-08 09:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 10-08 09:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 10-08 09:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |