VytautasBaltus
0xef95cdd35380cf086793e9af30b1e08a125588c0
- Realised P&L
- $-411.39
- Volume
- $128.2k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.363 | 0.245 | $3.5k | −$1.7k |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.065 | $591.50 | −$409.50 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.151 | 0.060 | $437.35 | −$663.14 |
| Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.105 | $21.95 | −$78.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.640Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
- +$570.65at 0.219Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
- +$463.14at 0.346Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$361.10at 0.549Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
- +$297.36at 0.327Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 10:39 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $12.36 |
| 10-06 07:59 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1616968658 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 07:50 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3789712509 | $1.4k |
| 10-05 09:30 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3928571429 | $110.00 |
| 10-05 09:25 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3869917651 | $108.09 |
| 10-05 09:21 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4032724669 | $112.63 |
| 10-05 09:19 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4139387755 | $115.61 |
| 10-05 09:06 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3580320308 | $1000.00 |
| 10-04 22:53 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3577160217 | $1.0k |
| 09-29 16:25 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $20.52 |
| 09-28 21:10 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $13.84 |
| 07-26 10:01 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.365 | $10.95 |
| 07-26 10:00 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $175.26 |
| 07-25 08:02 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.331 | $208.70 |
| 07-24 18:59 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.34 | $230.94 |