PolyBot

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Traders

VytautasBaltus

0xef95cdd35380cf086793e9af30b1e08a125588c0

Realised P&L
$-411.39
Volume
$128.2k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3630.245$3.5k−$1.7k
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.065$591.50−$409.50
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1510.060$437.35−$663.14
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4800.105$21.95−$78.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 10:39Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.15$12.36
10-06 07:59Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1616968658$100.00
10-06 07:50Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3789712509$1.4k
10-05 09:30Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3928571429$110.00
10-05 09:25Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3869917651$108.09
10-05 09:21Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.4032724669$112.63
10-05 09:19Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.4139387755$115.61
10-05 09:06Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3580320308$1000.00
10-04 22:53Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3577160217$1.0k
09-29 16:25Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.89$20.52
09-28 21:10Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6$13.84
07-26 10:01Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.365$10.95
07-26 10:00Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.65$175.26
07-25 08:02Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.331$208.70
07-24 18:59Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.34$230.94