PolyBot

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Traders

VytautasBaltus

0xef95cdd35380cf086793e9af30b1e08a125588c0

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$95.1k
Markets traded
122
Open portfolio
$11.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded122
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6400.855$8.6k+$2.2k
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3240.226$3.2k$1.4k
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4800.170$35.53$64.79
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31? · Yes0.2780.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 10:01Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.365$10.95
07-26 10:00Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.65$175.26
07-25 08:02Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.331$208.70
07-24 18:59Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.34$230.94
07-24 15:09Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.3489687579$663.04
07-24 11:47Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.71$252.87
07-24 11:46Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.3644230219$1.3k
07-24 07:17Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7084950808$58.33
07-24 07:16Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.368$1.5k
07-24 00:26Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6687681187$293.00
07-07 21:24Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?SELL0.08$11.38
07-07 21:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 13?BUY0.014$0.57
07-06 22:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 12?BUY0.0288656716$0.31
07-05 22:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 11?BUY0.0155400155$1.00
07-05 19:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 11?BUY0.025$1.00