PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xef93C69D7ABd9db3246896F4b898C4DbFcb4f3c8-1754652330460

0xef93c69d7abd9db3246896f4b898c4dbfcb4f3c8

Realised P&L
$-14.13
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
130
Open portfolio
$4.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded130
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6400.625$1.95−$0.05
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.345$1.50−$0.50
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · No0.8600.955$1.11+$0.11
Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15? · Yes0.4300.175$0.41−$0.59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00−$1.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 19:18Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-29 19:18Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?BUY0.4599999034$2.00
09-29 19:10Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?SELL0.1$0.57
09-29 19:09Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?SELL0.42$2.27
09-29 17:24Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.18$4.50
09-28 23:12Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$5.00
09-28 13:37Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?SELL0.999$5.55
09-28 13:37Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?SELL0.999$4.83
09-26 22:17Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?BUY0.988$5.50
09-26 22:16Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?SELL0.138$0.69
09-25 16:432026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.64$2.00
09-25 16:42Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?BUY0.8289999745$4.00
09-25 03:20Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?BUY0.1989999853$1.00
09-24 02:54Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?SELL0.805$2.29
09-24 02:53Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?SELL0.002$0.01