PolyBot

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Traders

mortilka

0xef92bd4e70b1b5bf992cfafe966f3da472e19b40

Realised P&L
$-242.52
Volume
$182.3k
Markets traded
2,722
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,722
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 25? · No0.9800.999$133.85+$2.52
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C or higher on September 25? · No0.9951.000$131.56+$0.61
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 25? · No0.9930.992$131.22−$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 25? · No0.9831.000$130.83+$2.19
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 25? · No0.9940.999$129.25+$0.61
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 25? · No0.9961.000$129.12+$0.48
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on September 25? · No0.9961.000$129.10+$0.45
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on September 25? · No0.9870.985$128.53−$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 25? · No0.9870.985$128.06−$0.27
Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on September 25? · No0.9901.000$126.83+$1.21
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 25? · No0.9800.986$126.13+$0.69
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on September 25? · No0.9971.000$77.98+$0.23
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25? · No0.9600.326$41.51−$80.73
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 25? · No0.9650.737$27.87−$8.64
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 25? · No0.9970.998$13.91+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 08:14Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 25?BUY0.9614406204$17.17
09-25 08:14Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 25?BUY0.97$2.71
09-25 06:16Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 25?BUY0.9873467304$119.08
09-25 06:16Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 25?BUY0.9969999999$13.90
09-25 05:26Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 25?BUY0.99$6.54
09-25 05:26Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on September 25?BUY0.99$121.80
09-25 05:26Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 25?BUY0.96$3.20
09-25 05:16Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 25?BUY0.9679999992$19.34
09-25 05:16Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 25?BUY0.9806082426$122.24
09-25 05:16Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25?BUY0.96$122.24
09-25 03:24Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on September 25?BUY0.99$3.82
09-25 03:02Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on September 25?BUY0.997$34.04
09-25 03:02Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on September 25?BUY0.9894140792$93.72
09-25 02:50Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on September 25?BUY0.997$5.86
09-25 02:48Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on September 25?BUY0.9961254536$37.85