mortilka
0xef92bd4e70b1b5bf992cfafe966f3da472e19b40
- Realised P&L
- $-242.52
- Volume
- $182.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,722
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,722
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.13at 0.876Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 31?
- +$23.37at 0.888Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 31?
- +$20.93at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 15?
- +$19.78at 0.926Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?
- +$17.10at 0.941Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 08:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.9614406204 | $17.17 |
| 09-25 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.97 | $2.71 |
| 09-25 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.9873467304 | $119.08 |
| 09-25 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $13.90 |
| 09-25 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $6.54 |
| 09-25 05:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $121.80 |
| 09-25 05:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.20 |
| 09-25 05:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.9679999992 | $19.34 |
| 09-25 05:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.9806082426 | $122.24 |
| 09-25 05:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.96 | $122.24 |
| 09-25 03:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.82 |
| 09-25 03:02 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.997 | $34.04 |
| 09-25 03:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.9894140792 | $93.72 |
| 09-25 02:50 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.86 |
| 09-25 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.9961254536 | $37.85 |