0xEF8c120357a9cEe61A8BF113934b3170fc9f8550-1770047303359
0xef8c120357a9cee61a8bf113934b3170fc9f8550
- Realised P&L
- $-493.96
- Volume
- $108.7k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $267.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026? · No | 0.130 | 0.820 | $126.15 | +$106.15 |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.22 (High) in 2026? · No | 0.190 | 0.875 | $92.11 | +$72.11 |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.420 | $49.41 | +$29.41 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET · Up | 0.416 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · No | 0.698 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting? · Yes | 0.731 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes | 0.353 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.74at 0.078Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$44.93at 0.690Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$40.17at 0.384U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
- +$17.73at 0.220US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
- +$7.78at 0.720Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-15 19:59 | Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 02-13 03:43 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BUY | 0.0379999824 | $2.00 |
| 02-11 12:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $0.97 |
| 02-11 11:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $0.98 |
| 02-11 10:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $0.97 |
| 02-11 06:36 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 02-11 06:34 | XRP Up or Down - February 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $0.98 |
| 02-11 06:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $0.97 |
| 02-11 06:31 | US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999956 | $20.00 |
| 02-10 15:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $0.99 |
| 02-10 15:14 | Will EUR/USD hit 1.22 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 02-10 15:13 | Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999941 | $20.00 |
| 02-10 14:40 | Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.35272504 | $20.00 |
| 02-10 14:34 | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 14:32 | Solana Up or Down - February 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $0.98 |