PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

hl133

0xef8a1bfed89dfdfa3cba49aa0706d64c3dbc1b88

Realised P&L
$-108.25
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
138
Open portfolio
$98.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded138
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 19:39Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?BUY0.93$13.95
07-09 12:46Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
07-09 12:13Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
06-28 17:19IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?BUY0.8799999859$5.00
02-22 07:56Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?SELL0.77$3.30
02-21 22:15Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in February 2026?SELL0.994$5.28
02-21 22:15Another Canada election called by June 30?SELL0.89$6.01
02-21 21:19US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?SELL0.73$3.65
02-21 21:19100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?SELL0.9098907104$9.99
02-21 21:19Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?SELL0.91$14.80
02-21 20:57Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?SELL0.9608043728$8.35
02-21 20:56Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?SELL0.94$4.70
02-21 19:49Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?SELL0.971$30.31
02-21 17:38Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?BUY0.1238620177$40.00
02-21 17:34Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?BUY0.1183151917$15.00