hl133
0xef8a1bfed89dfdfa3cba49aa0706d64c3dbc1b88
- Realised P&L
- $-108.25
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $98.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.36at 0.731Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?
- +$10.16at 0.810Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
- +$5.25at 0.160Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
- +$5.18at 0.260US bank failure by March 31?
- +$4.37at 0.101Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 19:39 | Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $13.95 |
| 07-09 12:46 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 12:13 | Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 17:19 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 02-22 07:56 | Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? | SELL | 0.77 | $3.30 |
| 02-21 22:15 | Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in February 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $5.28 |
| 02-21 22:15 | Another Canada election called by June 30? | SELL | 0.89 | $6.01 |
| 02-21 21:19 | US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 02-21 21:19 | 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? | SELL | 0.9098907104 | $9.99 |
| 02-21 21:19 | Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? | SELL | 0.91 | $14.80 |
| 02-21 20:57 | Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31? | SELL | 0.9608043728 | $8.35 |
| 02-21 20:56 | Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 02-21 19:49 | Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31? | SELL | 0.971 | $30.31 |
| 02-21 17:38 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30? | BUY | 0.1238620177 | $40.00 |
| 02-21 17:34 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30? | BUY | 0.1183151917 | $15.00 |