0xzag
0xef87690cdf78ff7d6bba664d8ded462470f4d589
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $62.2k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $18.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? · Yes | 0.499 | 0.155 | $18.77 | −$41.71 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.621 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$360.59 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.589 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.754 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$169.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.587Will England win on 2026-06-17?
- +$507.63at 0.647Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$331.71at 0.587Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$245.61at 0.883Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
- +$221.77at 0.775Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 15:49 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8499999999 | $800.00 |
| 06-30 16:13 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.7699999998 | $760.00 |
| 06-30 16:13 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.7220246794 | $469.56 |
| 06-30 16:12 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.7688262441 | $500.00 |
| 06-28 05:26 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.58 | $466.18 |
| 06-27 12:08 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.8599999988 | $406.71 |
| 06-27 12:07 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $407.86 |
| 06-25 15:39 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.6209999998 | $360.59 |
| 06-23 15:01 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.8599999985 | $314.15 |
| 06-22 15:39 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $287.17 |
| 06-21 18:30 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.5k |
| 06-19 14:04 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.64 | $920.11 |
| 06-18 14:48 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.76 | $707.57 |
| 06-18 14:42 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | SELL | 0.52 | $722.22 |
| 06-18 14:27 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.8k |