0xef84e5a8f4c85e05d5f032002cff8ee73ca80a36
0xef84e5a8f4c85e05d5f032002cff8ee73ca80a36
- Realised P&L
- $-5.93
- Volume
- $118.83
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $3.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.320 | 0.480 | $1.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.580 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.760 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.400Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 21:36 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:17 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:42 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:44 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:36 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:21 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 12:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:04 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:43 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:20 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:32 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:24 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 23:17 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 04:50 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |