0xef7c0e6Db325CC24fcB4A9A66FBc26de236774eB-1768455479838
0xef7c0e6db325cc24fcb4a9a66fbc26de236774eb
- Realised P&L
- $-453.21
- Volume
- $28.8k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $943.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No | 0.948 | 0.986 | $553.09 | +$21.09 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.647 | 0.635 | $288.56 | −$5.44 |
| Will Northern Ireland vs. Georgia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.325 | $101.56 | +$1.56 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? · Yes | 0.657 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$999.99 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.247 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.59 |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Khamzat Chimaev | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$319.81 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.440Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$174.36at 0.710Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$123.50at 0.447Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?
- +$105.70at 0.691Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev
- +$99.00at 0.830US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 05:14 | Will Northern Ireland vs. Georgia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 10:48 | Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev | BUY | 0.6799999992 | $232.51 |
| 09-29 08:55 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.9484961798 | $433.00 |
| 09-29 08:55 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $24.08 |
| 09-29 08:50 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.9479999998 | $99.00 |
| 09-13 09:17 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2894798763 | $41.00 |
| 09-13 09:16 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $41.20 |
| 09-07 15:17 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6469741851 | $294.00 |
| 09-07 15:16 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2426951196 | $100.00 |
| 06-17 08:11 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2475888321 | $90.59 |
| 06-17 08:10 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1059999991 | $100.00 |
| 06-13 16:25 | Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0859419638 | $1000.00 |
| 05-05 16:17 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.8299999996 | $319.81 |
| 05-05 16:16 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.65 | $320.94 |
| 05-02 06:19 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.64 | $316.00 |