Yepp1402
0xef7b4a6278b30404ad0258221ff2d95e20e21e36
- Realised P&L
- $34.38
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $4.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.043 | $4.87 | −$5.13 |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET · Down | 0.539 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.02 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET · Up | 0.473 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.67 |
| Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance · Paraguay | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET · Down | 0.295 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.91 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.45at 0.440Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
- +$23.00at 0.770Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?
- +$19.61at 0.489Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
- +$18.46at 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
- +$17.33at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 19:46 | Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 19:42 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 05-30 18:46 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 18:41 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 22:52 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.0893928499 | $10.00 |
| 02-24 23:13 | Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-02-24? | SELL | 0.61 | $91.65 |
| 02-24 22:53 | Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-02-24? | BUY | 0.6766056572 | $101.66 |
| 02-22 20:01 | Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 02-22 20:00 | Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%? | SELL | 0.617125 | $12.34 |
| 02-21 16:32 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 02-17 18:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.12 |
| 02-17 18:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $0.99 |
| 02-07 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $9.69 |
| 02-07 13:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | SELL | 0.993 | $24.37 |
| 02-07 13:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999931 | $19.76 |