i-got-stabbed
0xef7847e23ff5bfabe84bcd5c85241aae5c597c4b
- Realised P&L
- $-57.19
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $99.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.981 | $51.99 | −$0.48 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.943 | 0.825 | $46.20 | −$6.61 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? · No | 0.983 | 0.992 | $1.61 | +$0.01 |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.70at 0.950Will Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
- +$2.42at 0.956Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?
- +$1.59at 0.947Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$1.02at 0.940Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
- +$1.01at 0.981Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 08:08 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30? | BUY | 0.984 | $22.51 |