nombertwo
0xef6835f8dc32955541efb71e228ac9443d84939a
- Realised P&L
- $9.34
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $302.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No | 0.940 | 0.963 | $52.42 | +$1.25 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · No | 0.940 | 0.981 | $51.94 | +$2.17 |
| Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes | 0.946 | 0.962 | $51.64 | +$0.86 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.939 | $51.61 | −$0.08 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No | 0.973 | 0.968 | $49.50 | −$0.26 |
| Will Trump deport 700-800k people? · No | 0.994 | 0.985 | $45.66 | −$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.35at 0.933Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$1.09at 0.978Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$0.90at 0.972Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?
- +$0.87at 0.943FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
- +$0.50at 0.984Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 09:14 | Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $19.88 |