0xef60B943440dDba97d06672C27cD2C2fEb0fCa47-1771836384347
0xef60b943440ddba97d06672c27cd2c2feb0fca47
- Realised P&L
- $-1.43
- Volume
- $24.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $17.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1? · Yes | 0.997 | 0.999 | $17.98 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.30at 0.985Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 23?
- +$0.27at 0.976Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
- +$0.07at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11?
- +$0.07at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 2?
- +$0.03at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 09:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $17.95 |
| 07-02 06:45 | Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.00 |
| 06-24 06:49 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.60 |
| 05-27 07:15 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $9.60 |
| 04-25 08:05 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.80 |
| 04-24 09:38 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.84 |
| 04-23 04:16 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.90 |
| 04-22 06:41 | Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.01 |
| 04-21 04:33 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.90 |
| 03-21 04:28 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.974 | $7.79 |
| 02-28 23:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | SELL | 0.998 | $12.21 |