PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xef60B943440dDba97d06672C27cD2C2fEb0fCa47-1771836384347

0xef60b943440ddba97d06672c27cd2c2feb0fca47

Realised P&L
$-1.43
Volume
$24.4k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$17.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1? · Yes0.9970.999$17.98+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 09:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?BUY0.997$17.95
07-02 06:45Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.004$8.00
06-24 06:49Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.004$7.60
05-27 07:15Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.005$9.60
04-25 08:05Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.01$9.80
04-24 09:38Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.008$9.84
04-23 04:16Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.006$9.90
04-22 06:41Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.007$10.01
04-21 04:33Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.009$9.90
03-21 04:28Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.974$7.79
02-28 23:09Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?SELL0.998$12.21