biggothgirlboots
0xef5f918dbfbe09e77d926e02acb2e1f6c7a17334
- Realised P&L
- $12.44
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $217.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.982 | 0.983 | $55.63 | +$0.03 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.981 | 0.986 | $54.65 | +$0.25 |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.964 | $52.76 | −$0.36 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat? · Yes | 0.986 | 0.976 | $49.78 | −$0.51 |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.977 | 0.965 | $4.82 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.75at 0.949Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
- +$1.22at 0.947Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$1.12at 0.982Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$1.12at 0.978Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?
- +$1.08at 0.980Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 08:08 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30? | BUY | 0.984 | $22.48 |