PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lilik

0xef57444bd5774aec993d234450b220595b15827d

Realised P&L
$-6.1k
Volume
$1.39M
Markets traded
688
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded688
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? · No0.9930.999$499.25+$2.75
Will Solana reach $200 in October? · No0.9920.993$496.25+$0.25
Will the price of Solana be greater than $160 on October 12? · No0.9900.995$14.92+$0.07
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Team Spirit0.1600.000$0.00−$160.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 02:14Will the price of Solana be greater than $160 on October 12?BUY0.99$14.85
10-07 02:13Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?BUY0.993$24.92
08-21 08:31Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.08$13.92
08-21 08:30Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.1$50.00
08-21 05:40Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.02$4.00
08-21 05:06Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.34$340.00
08-21 03:43Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.36$190.89
08-21 02:52Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.59$125.67
08-20 09:25Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.344$1.72
08-20 08:58Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.341$21.15
08-20 03:27Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.32$160.00
08-20 03:20Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.318$7.95
08-16 14:44PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara vs. FK Dinamo Makhachkala: O/U 4.5BUY0.47$2.35
08-16 10:07Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.9492$474.60
08-16 07:28Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination RoundBUY0.16$1.52