lilik
0xef57444bd5774aec993d234450b220595b15827d
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $1.39M
- Markets traded
- 688
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded688
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? · No | 0.993 | 0.999 | $499.25 | +$2.75 |
| Will Solana reach $200 in October? · No | 0.992 | 0.993 | $496.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will the price of Solana be greater than $160 on October 12? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $14.92 | +$0.07 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Team Spirit | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.6kat 0.399Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
- +$5.5kat 0.645Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
- +$5.5kat 0.687Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- +$5.5kat 0.599Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner
- +$4.9kat 0.656Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 02:14 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $160 on October 12? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 10-07 02:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? | BUY | 0.993 | $24.92 |
| 08-21 08:31 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.08 | $13.92 |
| 08-21 08:30 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 08-21 05:40 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.02 | $4.00 |
| 08-21 05:06 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.34 | $340.00 |
| 08-21 03:43 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.36 | $190.89 |
| 08-21 02:52 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.59 | $125.67 |
| 08-20 09:25 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.344 | $1.72 |
| 08-20 08:58 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.341 | $21.15 |
| 08-20 03:27 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.32 | $160.00 |
| 08-20 03:20 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.318 | $7.95 |
| 08-16 14:44 | PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara vs. FK Dinamo Makhachkala: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-16 10:07 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.9492 | $474.60 |
| 08-16 07:28 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Round | BUY | 0.16 | $1.52 |