johnthegreat04061990
0xef55c83e8f7c1573408db55f443f6f29a3619eb9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $75.5k
- Markets traded
- 170
- Open portfolio
- $604.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded170
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$290.99at 0.049Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$253.96at 0.511Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
- +$207.48at 0.734Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?
- +$206.97at 0.295US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$120.30at 0.627Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 22:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 21:00 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.4087193455 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 20:59 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7399999953 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 18:16 | Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4594330284 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 16:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.047 | $20.00 |
| 10-28 13:25 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.0213965926 | $9.12 |
| 10-27 20:07 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $50.00 |
| 10-27 20:07 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 18:36 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.6218007203 | $202.00 |
| 10-27 18:26 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 18:26 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.3323353193 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 18:23 | Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.7770781829 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 18:22 | Will Dems win 12-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.0998080611 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 18:22 | Will Dems win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3792531876 | $41.64 |
| 10-27 18:22 | Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.4275181789 | $50.00 |