0xef497a55bd92badbbd3313673d50f7260fcdbcfc
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A · Legacy | 0.500 | 0.495 | $990.00 | −$10.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A · B8 | 0.390 | 0.385 | $968.85 | −$12.58 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Down | 0.517 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Up | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$225.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Up | 0.516 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Down | 0.297 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.76 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Down | 0.748 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Down | 0.514 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$195.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Down | 0.346 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Up | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$306.10at 0.504Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
- +$165.05at 0.650Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
- +$158.00at 0.398Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
- +$83.15at 0.963Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
- +$12.67at 0.888Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:29 | Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | BUY | 0.3899999999 | $981.43 |
| 11-01 21:28 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | BUY | 0.5 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 20:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 20:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 20:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 20:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 20:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 20:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 20:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 20:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5294705281 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999981 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999981 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 20:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 20:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |