PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xEf24dBeAD89A87DE80F7f330914fEb6C651dA44d-1764841337487

0xef24dbead89a87de80f7f330914feb6c651da44d

Realised P&L
$-8.4k
Volume
$1.18M
Markets traded
1,382
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,382
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 21-27? · Yes0.3100.435$973.53+$279.95
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 21-27? · Yes0.2500.420$840.00+$340.00
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? · Yes0.5100.825$825.01+$315.00
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 21-27? · Yes0.1160.180$162.00+$57.60
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 21-27? · Yes0.1300.185$148.00+$44.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.2370.000$0.00$3.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17? · No0.1170.000$0.00$181.64
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 9? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$18.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 12? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Down0.6300.000$0.00$35.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 1? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$4.66
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET · Down0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$24.00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.0900.000$0.00$5.00
XRP Up or Down on August 22? · Down0.1100.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 09:22Will XRP reach $1.70 September 21-27?BUY0.31$3.10
09-22 08:17Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 21-27?BUY0.116$104.40
09-22 08:17Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 21-27?BUY0.25$247.50
09-22 08:15Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27?BUY0.51$510.00
09-22 08:14Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 21-27?BUY0.31$656.89
09-22 08:14Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 21-27?BUY0.13$104.00
09-22 05:18Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.5355064$267.75
09-21 21:12Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?SELL0.33$212.90
09-21 21:12Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?SELL0.5571452$278.57
09-21 21:12Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27?SELL0.72$407.54
09-21 20:48Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?SELL0.7157051516$903.32
09-21 20:26Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 21-27?SELL0.999$579.13
09-21 18:09Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.20837191$76.79
09-21 14:55Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?BUY0.5$123.50
09-21 14:54Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?BUY0.3099999997$200.00