Sharpmachine
0xef23cbe21335189da1847ce4bb7b6115039a5b60
- Realised P&L
- $6.8k
- Volume
- $1.35M
- Markets traded
- 673
- Open portfolio
- $1.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded673
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.540 | 0.004 | $1.91 | −$227.59 |
| Wild vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.92 |
| Hurricanes vs. Kings · Kings | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$914.75 |
| Predators vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.90 |
| Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$252.68 |
| Stars vs. Penguins · Penguins | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$709.45 |
| Devils vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.41 |
| Rangers vs. Penguins · Penguins | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Panthers vs. Lightning · Lightning | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$994.29 |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers · Flyers | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Canucks vs. Flames: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.00 |
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes · Kraken | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$871.97 |
| Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.3kat 0.400Bruins vs. Panthers
- +$6.8kat 0.410Red Wings vs. Panthers
- +$6.3kat 0.410Ducks vs. Wild
- +$6.1kat 0.330Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5
- +$5.2kat 0.380Senators vs. Panthers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:23 | Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $32.40 |
| 09-21 22:23 | Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $32.40 |
| 09-21 22:23 | Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $32.40 |
| 09-21 22:22 | Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $32.40 |
| 09-21 22:22 | Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $32.40 |
| 09-21 22:21 | Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $32.40 |
| 09-21 22:21 | Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $35.10 |
| 09-20 20:30 | Predators vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 07-11 16:40 | Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.03 | $31.47 |
| 07-09 17:39 | France vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.016 | $66.34 |
| 07-09 17:33 | France vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.015 | $41.57 |
| 07-06 21:59 | United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.03 | $20.10 |
| 07-06 21:56 | United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.029 | $77.56 |
| 07-01 22:56 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.01 | $0.26 |
| 06-23 22:31 | Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |