PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xEF1aFf8B044b2986B60ACaFE49A0B606711384ac-1773691195157

0xef1aff8b044b2986b60acafe49a0b606711384ac

Realised P&L
$-172.44
Volume
$46.0k
Markets traded
355
Open portfolio
$14.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded355
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · No0.7900.864$6.55+$0.56
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No0.8200.485$3.55$2.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5PM ET · Up0.5000.505$2.52+$0.03
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4000.130$1.97$4.10
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28? · Yes0.1220.000$0.00$37.10
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026? · No0.0040.000$0.00$0.31
Will XRP reach $1.50 May 4-10? · No0.6600.000$0.00$5.96
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$0.18
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 2? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$8.00
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.57
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · Movistar KOI0.3900.000$0.00$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? · Yes0.3310.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 11:30XRP Up or Down - September 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETSELL0.99$5.36
09-15 14:32Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.82$6.00
09-15 14:02Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?SELL0.8$7.74
09-11 14:32Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.62$6.00
09-11 14:02Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?SELL0.83$7.54
09-04 13:32Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.79$6.00
09-04 13:15XRP Up or Down - September 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSELL0.999$7.83
09-04 13:08XRP Up or Down - September 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.51$4.00
09-03 16:32Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?BUY0.66$6.00
09-03 16:02Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?SELL0.66$8.43
09-02 18:02Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?BUY0.47$6.00
09-02 17:32Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 31-September 6?SELL0.79$8.32
09-01 19:02Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 31-September 6?BUY0.57$6.00
09-01 08:32Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 31-September 6?BUY0.44$6.00
08-21 17:41XRP Up or Down - August 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETSELL0.999$7.83