fiankee
0xef104cc70851a4246e8e06790d7fad9708190b43
- Realised P&L
- $209.9k
- Volume
- $12.38M
- Markets traded
- 6,031
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,031
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $1.40 in August? · No | 0.880 | 0.958 | $540.31 | +$43.99 |
| Will XRP reach $1.20 in August? · No | 0.620 | 0.655 | $253.46 | +$13.54 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.60 in August? · No | 0.940 | 0.987 | $241.69 | +$11.39 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.80 in August? · No | 0.890 | 0.975 | $111.15 | +$9.69 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.00 in August? · Yes | 0.563 | 0.490 | $71.69 | −$10.68 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 9, 3AM ET · Up | 0.498 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.35 |
| XRP Up or Down - July 10, 9AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.60 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$151.50 |
| XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET · Up | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.29 |
| XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET · Down | 0.499 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.51 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 1, 6AM ET · Up | 0.492 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$121.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET · Up | 0.471 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3PM ET · Down | 0.459 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET · Up | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$339.59 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 3PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.4kat 0.533Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3PM ET
- +$17.9kat 0.120Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 7?
- +$15.6kat 0.232Will XRP dip to $2.00 January 12-18?
- +$14.1kat 0.436Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 14?
- +$12.5kat 0.565Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:51 | XRP Up or Down - August 4, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-04 17:24 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.4173785762 | $31.37 |
| 08-04 14:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $95.20 |
| 08-04 13:20 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.4884210526 | $9.28 |
| 08-04 07:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $57.44 |
| 08-04 04:17 | XRP Up or Down - August 4, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 02:35 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.492 | $12.30 |
| 08-03 22:01 | XRP Up or Down - August 3, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.10 |
| 08-03 19:00 | Solana Up or Down - August 3, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $0.51 |
| 08-03 18:50 | Will XRP reach $1.10 on August 3? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 08-03 18:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.4905788489 | $254.25 |
| 08-03 18:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.4806781507 | $1.2k |
| 08-03 15:25 | XRP Up or Down - August 3, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-03 14:56 | Will XRP reach $1.10 on August 3? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 08-03 13:22 | Will XRP reach $1.10 on August 3? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |