PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

liufuyuan

0xef0fa0a64f025b1b3c0a74e365dcbb486279e1ec

Realised P&L
$-10.91
Volume
$10.2k
Markets traded
100
Open portfolio
$16.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded100
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President by September 30? · No0.9990.999$14.29−$0.01
Harvard vs. Brown · Harvard0.8200.825$2.48+$0.01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 24? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.20
Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 October 13-19? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 16? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$3.50
Will Solana reach $120 in February? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.50
Emmett vs. Zalal · Emmett0.2100.000$0.00−$1.20
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 12? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$2.20
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,600 and $3,700 on December 17? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 13:05Trump out as President by September 30?BUY0.9989999521$14.30
09-25 13:01Harvard vs. BrownBUY0.82$2.46
08-01 04:25Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.998$16.70
06-07 12:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7?BUY0.9989999896$88.00
05-28 06:21Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?BUY0.999$88.00
05-22 13:01Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?BUY0.999$88.00
05-17 07:55Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?BUY0.998$88.00
05-12 10:49Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?BUY0.9989999896$88.00
05-07 09:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?BUY0.999$88.00
05-03 09:49Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?BUY0.999$88.00
04-26 03:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 26?BUY0.999$87.99
04-22 12:15Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 22?BUY0.999$86.99
04-17 12:49Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?BUY0.998$86.98
04-14 06:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14?BUY0.998$86.97
04-09 11:43Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 9?BUY0.999$86.99