LuckyRabit
0xeeebed886561422deeceb2b21819aeb53b6e1157
- Realised P&L
- $12.00
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $66.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 10? · No | 0.990 | 0.963 | $32.68 | −$0.92 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11? · No | 0.697 | 0.680 | $14.21 | −$0.37 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.215 | $8.97 | +$1.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 11? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.250 | $3.70 | −$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.209 | 0.194 | $2.77 | −$0.22 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 10? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.400 | $1.51 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 11? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.275 | $1.41 | +$0.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.006 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.21 | −$0.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.27at 0.989Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 10?
- +$4.69at 0.990Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 10?
- +$4.50at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?
- +$4.47at 0.990Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 10?
- +$1.44at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.2089999868 | $2.99 |
| 10-10 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.3899999761 | $1.47 |
| 10-10 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.7 | $10.01 |
| 10-10 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.6999999747 | $2.77 |
| 10-10 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.2599999805 | $1.33 |
| 10-10 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.2599999878 | $3.85 |
| 10-10 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.6799999547 | $1.80 |
| 10-10 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.1899999959 | $7.93 |
| 10-10 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.007520242 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0047822259 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 03:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9868574084 | $297.32 |
| 10-09 22:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.98908318 | $494.54 |
| 10-09 22:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 10-09 22:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 10-09 22:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |