xfmcxg0500j
0xeee8ecef5cbce0a42f3d92466cd72d96ba21d174
- Realised P&L
- $-29.94
- Volume
- $15.4k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $32.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.205 | $32.80 | −$32.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.20at 0.879Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?
- +$1.09at 0.945Solana reach 240 September 1–7?
- +$0.85at 0.749Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?
- +$0.61at 0.967Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$0.58at 0.957Will Ethereum reach $4900 September 8–14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 01:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 08-10 08:52 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August? | BUY | 0.9829999961 | $1.50 |
| 07-06 03:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July? | BUY | 0.979999412 | $1.60 |
| 06-22 16:34 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.60 |
| 06-03 08:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.60 |
| 05-08 16:01 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.00 |
| 04-23 16:26 | Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.69 |
| 03-17 06:39 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.69 |
| 01-23 05:53 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $67.22 |
| 01-07 03:11 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 5 above $540? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.15 |
| 01-07 03:11 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.00 |
| 12-17 06:12 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $33.30 |
| 12-06 13:07 | BNB all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.9769999996 | $17.90 |
| 12-06 13:05 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 12-06 13:04 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $17.20 |