PatoBlindado
0xeee89734db13f62660dccaf1a15037402d1a79df
- Realised P&L
- $-20.1k
- Volume
- $1.22M
- Markets traded
- 7,048
- Open portfolio
- $476.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,048
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? · No | 0.430 | 1.000 | $299.85 | +$170.85 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 5? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.720 | $108.00 | +$61.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? · No | 0.090 | 0.145 | $43.50 | +$16.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.045 | $13.50 | −$13.50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 5? · Yes | 0.414 | 0.080 | $12.00 | −$50.15 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.001 | $0.11 | −$7.89 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET · Up | 0.582 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - September 3, 2AM ET · Down | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.74 |
| XRP Up or Down - September 3, 1AM ET · Up | 0.551 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28? · Yes | 0.204 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.5kat 0.646Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$3.5kat 0.565Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$2.2kat 0.257Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?
- +$1.6kat 0.728Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$1.6kat 0.239Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 13:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.4168054545 | $45.85 |
| 10-05 13:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.4075 | $16.30 |
| 10-05 13:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.0370881961 | $8.00 |
| 10-05 13:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.31 | $46.50 |
| 09-28 12:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.2043795617 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 12:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 12:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 23? | SELL | 0.2053393271 | $87.82 |
| 09-23 12:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.2338251456 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 13:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 20? | SELL | 0.044 | $4.89 |
| 09-20 13:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.0449999996 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 21:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 20? | SELL | 0.074 | $3.56 |
| 09-19 21:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.103999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 12:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 12:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.3231109505 | $100.00 |
| 09-03 20:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.997 | $20.00 |