PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Van12345

0xeee5d1a7fa618f9196bee50a4b2f2afdaead93d6

Realised P&L
$-34.70
Volume
$849.57
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$15.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Eagles vs. Jaguars · Eagles0.2400.235$4.78−$0.10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.528$3.59+$0.19
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.4200.415$1.44−$0.02
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0270.026$1.32−$0.02
Will FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF end in a draw? · Yes0.0560.059$1.03+$0.04
Canucks vs. Hurricanes · Canucks0.2600.235$0.90−$0.10
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11? · Yes0.5400.090$0.83−$4.17
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11? · Yes0.2300.015$0.51−$6.99
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9? · Yes0.2300.013$0.30−$4.84
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9? · Yes0.0800.003$0.19−$5.99
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 8? · Yes0.0590.004$0.08−$1.09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 8? · Yes0.1100.001$0.04−$7.96
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on October 8? · Yes0.2300.002$0.01−$1.44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8? · Yes0.5300.001$0.00−$4.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8? · Yes0.1500.001$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 19:29Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on October 7?SELL0.892$4.46
10-07 19:15Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?SELL0.23$3.88
10-07 18:36Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on October 7?BUY0.719$3.59
10-07 18:12Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.027$1.35
10-07 18:09Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?BUY0.0744071588$1.33
10-07 17:21Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 8?BUY0.0594915244$1.17
10-07 17:20Warriors vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.2$1.00
10-07 16:21Eagles vs. JaguarsBUY0.24$1.22
10-07 15:42Canucks vs. HurricanesBUY0.26$1.00
10-07 14:48Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on October 8?BUY0.23$1.45
10-07 13:57Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 October 5-11?SELL0.44$10.29
10-07 13:50Eagles vs. JaguarsBUY0.24$1.00
10-07 13:30Warriors vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.2$1.00
10-07 12:44Warriors vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.19$1.06
10-07 11:18Will FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?BUY0.056$0.98