0xeee13b8386960b74ff8d8b1ed94e14a70b17ed66
- Realised P&L
- $-0.54
- Volume
- $18.55
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $7.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.934 | $1.58 | +$0.28 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.240 | $1.42 | +$0.12 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.775 | $1.29 | −$0.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.505 | $1.29 | −$0.01 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.735 | $1.27 | −$0.03 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.053 | $0.27 | −$1.03 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:50 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.779999916 | $1.30 |
| 09-15 18:50 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.7499997115 | $1.30 |
| 09-15 10:48 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999215 | $1.30 |
| 09-15 02:01 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999966 | $1.30 |
| 09-14 18:01 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 09-14 10:01 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999052 | $1.30 |