Rvfleuse
0xeee10f2b13a7b78d39183952f70357ab1e445a04
- Realised P&L
- $163.05
- Volume
- $112.7k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $54.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.005 | $21.88 | −$13.13 |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.020 | $20.80 | −$34.20 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.115 | $12.07 | −$8.93 |
| Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.50 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No | 0.475 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes | 0.371 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$260.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$434.51at 0.500US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$423.52at 0.586U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?
- +$332.25at 0.344US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
- +$310.47at 0.397Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
- +$267.98at 0.124Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 05:32 | Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.0084672551 | $11.07 |
| 10-25 05:32 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.005 | $2.09 |
| 10-22 20:30 | Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $35.00 |
| 10-13 21:20 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0287428997 | $12.00 |
| 10-13 20:42 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $21.00 |
| 10-13 20:37 | Macron out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0528892973 | $55.00 |
| 10-13 20:34 | Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.021 | $15.00 |
| 10-13 20:28 | Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0117993891 | $7.00 |
| 05-22 22:37 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.052 | $100.88 |
| 05-12 14:41 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.089 | $35.60 |
| 05-08 05:35 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.097 | $149.38 |
| 05-06 22:16 | World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? | BUY | 0.0391499826 | $5.00 |
| 05-06 09:12 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $50.00 |
| 05-06 09:12 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.058 | $55.80 |
| 05-06 09:12 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | SELL | 0.0716624885 | $59.74 |