PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Rvfleuse

0xeee10f2b13a7b78d39183952f70357ab1e445a04

Realised P&L
$163.05
Volume
$112.7k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$54.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0080.005$21.88−$13.13
Macron out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0530.020$20.80−$34.20
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2000.115$12.07−$8.93
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30? · Yes0.2150.000$0.00−$7.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$19.50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.4750.000$0.00−$250.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$90.00
Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$12.00
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$5.00
Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes0.3710.000$0.00−$260.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 05:32Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.0084672551$11.07
10-25 05:32Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.005$2.09
10-22 20:30Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.008$35.00
10-13 21:20Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0287428997$12.00
10-13 20:42Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2$21.00
10-13 20:37Macron out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0528892973$55.00
10-13 20:34Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.021$15.00
10-13 20:28Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0117993891$7.00
05-22 22:37Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.052$100.88
05-12 14:41Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.089$35.60
05-08 05:35Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.097$149.38
05-06 22:16 World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?BUY0.0391499826$5.00
05-06 09:12China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?SELL0.08$50.00
05-06 09:12Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.058$55.80
05-06 09:12Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?SELL0.0716624885$59.74