Techi312
0xeedb762379eb79fda70b309e3a72a2724e54ce75
- Realised P&L
- $-48.47
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $364.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? · No | 0.462 | 0.840 | $268.80 | +$120.85 |
| Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? · No | 0.920 | 1.000 | $40.00 | +$3.20 |
| Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No | 0.570 | 0.870 | $31.32 | +$10.80 |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.315 | 0.375 | $13.88 | +$2.23 |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · Yes | 0.337 | 0.095 | $5.70 | −$14.50 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.165 | $3.30 | −$10.90 |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · Yes | 0.151 | 0.075 | $1.89 | −$1.89 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.60 |
| FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.25at 0.550US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$5.38at 0.650Vanderbilt vs. Alabama
- +$1.14at 0.810Will Bryan Johnson say "Polymarket" while tripping balls?
- +$0.00at 0.040Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?
- +$-2.00at 0.200Santos vs. Chiasson
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 00:43 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.67 |
| 05-06 14:42 | FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.08 |
| 05-01 18:18 | Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $16.50 |
| 04-30 18:38 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $6.00 |
| 04-29 16:07 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.44 | $44.00 |
| 04-28 23:38 | Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 04-28 23:31 | Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 04-28 15:09 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.27 |
| 04-28 15:02 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $7.50 |
| 04-28 01:41 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.46 | $34.50 |
| 04-28 01:19 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 04-28 01:11 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 04-26 15:54 | Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.02 |
| 04-26 15:19 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.49 | $12.25 |
| 04-25 23:57 | Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.92 | $36.80 |