PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xfBB17bBBb516677DDD44398aa83bF982eEA5E897-1775149139948

0xeed251b748ce491f56a63031c343ec36dfc4774d

Realised P&L
$37.49
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$23.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spain win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes0.2200.225$10.23+$0.23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3370.305$9.06−$0.94
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3700.585$1.58+$0.58
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3800.415$1.09+$0.09
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7020.702$1.00−$0.00
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8450.380$0.45−$0.55
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3730.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? · No0.2800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5750.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 12:45Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.15$2.14
07-29 17:54Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
07-22 17:31Will Spain win the UEFA EURO 2028?BUY0.219999985$10.00
07-22 17:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.5756322083$10.00
07-22 12:29Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.5$50.00
07-19 15:41Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.8449997042$1.00
07-19 15:41Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.702$1.00
07-19 05:19Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4074998798$1.00
07-15 18:54Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3449998603$1.00
07-14 18:47Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3729997866$1.00
07-14 18:46Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
07-11 18:18Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5749998994$1.00
07-11 18:18Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2524998138$1.00
07-07 08:59Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
07-07 08:59Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6199998512$1.00