0xfBB17bBBb516677DDD44398aa83bF982eEA5E897-1775149139948
0xeed251b748ce491f56a63031c343ec36dfc4774d
- Realised P&L
- $37.49
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $23.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.10at 0.149Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$18.97at 0.051Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$7.37at 0.576Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- +$4.26at 0.540Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
- +$4.20at 0.790Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 12:45 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.14 |
| 07-29 17:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 17:31 | Will Spain win the UEFA EURO 2028? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 17:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.5756322083 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 12:29 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 15:41 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.8449997042 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 15:41 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.702 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 05:19 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4074998798 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 18:54 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3449998603 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 18:47 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3729997866 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 18:46 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 18:18 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5749998994 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 18:18 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2524998138 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 08:59 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 08:59 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |