0xEeD1db196590719d2Cc732ad1AaFBCA7f1cE501F-1771685804869
0xeed1db196590719d2cc732ad1aafbca7f1ce501f
- Realised P&L
- $64.32
- Volume
- $41.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,714
- Open portfolio
- $3.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,714
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$194.03at 0.011Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?
- +$97.90at 0.021Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 29?
- +$89.00at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6?
- +$68.46at 0.022Will the highest temperature in Austin be 81°F or below on May 6?
- +$56.40at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on March 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on August 2? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.70 |
| 07-28 17:38 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on July 30? | BUY | 0.0082885 | $0.83 |
| 07-26 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.88 |
| 07-23 15:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or below on July 25? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.90 |
| 07-23 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 21? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.30 |
| 07-20 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 21? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.97 |
| 07-20 03:46 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 21? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 21? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.18 |
| 07-19 05:46 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on July 20? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 07-18 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 20? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.0194143302 | $0.93 |
| 07-17 06:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.09 |
| 07-16 14:37 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 15:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |