gndndaa
0xeebfeb8ffa66268b976a3e8f83b27638dc326fbd
- Realised P&L
- $-38.95
- Volume
- $123.5k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $368.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.997 | $298.95 | +$97.95 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.775 | $69.48 | +$0.44 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.002 | $0.26 | −$1.11 |
| Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.70 |
| Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.72 |
| Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.64at 0.741Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?
- +$19.00at 0.810Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?
- +$7.00at 0.930Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$6.57at 0.910Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
- +$4.99at 0.972Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 06:08 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.796516292 | $31.53 |
| 07-31 06:08 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.004 | $22.18 |
| 06-21 01:59 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $45.74 |
| 06-21 01:58 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $49.97 |
| 06-18 10:48 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $201.00 |
| 06-18 10:48 | Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.003 | $17.01 |
| 05-07 10:34 | Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $28.36 |
| 04-09 09:39 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $66.62 |
| 04-09 09:37 | Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.981 | $97.83 |
| 04-09 09:35 | Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.582 | $21.95 |
| 03-28 09:34 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $51.49 |
| 02-17 11:05 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $51.49 |
| 02-17 11:04 | Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.922 | $34.79 |
| 01-30 14:43 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 12-10 15:27 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9929999448 | $10.00 |