Nexkron
0xeeb5d61c7ef1b1f23ae9f7b04bfa24b6fcbaea73
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $63.0k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $74.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.865 | 0.905 | $36.20 | +$1.58 |
| Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.285 | $22.80 | −$13.20 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.765 | $15.30 | +$1.10 |
| 76ers vs. Hornets · Hornets | 0.555 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$276.63 |
| Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.60 |
| Celtics vs. Hornets · Hornets | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.893 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.86 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No | 0.981 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.62 |
| Will Trump say "Far Side" during remarks at NASA? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.00 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.520Kings vs. Nets
- +$500.00at 0.750Kings vs. Hawks
- +$432.00at 0.910Kings vs. Magic
- +$280.00at 0.920Jazz vs. Suns
- +$255.00at 0.950Bulls vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 05:32 | Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.8655 | $34.62 |
| 09-02 01:07 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.20 |
| 08-27 05:01 | Will Trump say "Far Side" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 08-13 10:08 | Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.45 | $36.00 |
| 08-08 04:40 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.31 | $102.30 |
| 07-28 09:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.94 | $28.20 |
| 07-20 07:21 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 07-12 04:15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.795 | $7.31 |
| 06-23 03:05 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 06-23 03:05 | Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June? | BUY | 0.73 | $0.84 |
| 06-23 03:05 | Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 06-15 03:12 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.845717 | $84.57 |
| 06-15 03:12 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.935 | $13.16 |
| 06-15 03:11 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | BUY | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 06-15 03:11 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |