pazartesi
0xee9ea8dbcd576b6f60993c6f97edb9067076efb7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $309.8k
- Markets traded
- 437
- Open portfolio
- $8.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded437
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.170 | $6.63 | −$7.41 |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.195 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.022 | $0.55 | −$0.95 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.036 | $0.15 | −$1.25 |
| Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$452.88at 0.320Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
- +$391.07at 0.596FC Annecy vs. Clermont Foot 63: O/U 3.5
- +$238.15at 0.450Will Trump say "Fat" this week? (January 18)
- +$197.83at 0.170Will Trump say "Too Late" this week? (December 22 - 28)
- +$196.54at 0.120Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 04:16 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.74 | $426.24 |
| 04-23 14:51 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.76 | $437.76 |
| 04-23 12:22 | FC Annecy vs. Clermont Foot 63: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.596 | $576.93 |
| 04-11 09:41 | Will Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.85 | $392.70 |
| 04-11 08:04 | Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | SELL | 0.73 | $493.48 |
| 04-11 08:03 | Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | SELL | 0.73 | $175.93 |
| 04-10 20:40 | Will Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.82 | $378.84 |
| 04-09 23:26 | Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | SELL | 0.75 | $167.25 |
| 04-09 14:28 | Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | SELL | 0.76 | $174.04 |
| 04-09 14:26 | Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | SELL | 0.76 | $191.52 |
| 04-07 19:20 | Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | BUY | 0.88 | $619.52 |
| 04-07 13:25 | Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | BUY | 0.75 | $687.75 |
| 03-31 02:50 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in April 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $187.00 |
| 03-31 01:41 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.535 | $421.05 |
| 03-29 14:43 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in April 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $187.00 |