PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

notfinishedreadingthebookyet

0xee965d7ddbb2dbd7ec602b4690968116f4ee86b4

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$142.4k
Markets traded
2,691
Open portfolio
$37.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,691
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Henan finish 3rd in the 2026 Chinese Super League? · Yes0.0200.470$3.35+$3.20
Will India vs. Panama end in a draw? · Yes0.0450.500$2.75+$2.50
Will Panama win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.0450.475$2.61+$2.36
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0100.205$2.30+$2.18
Will David Choquehuanca be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0040.070$2.12+$2.00
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-15 House election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.0150.149$1.93+$1.74
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.0040.046$1.85+$1.69
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0020.347$1.74+$1.73
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 65%-70%? · Yes0.0200.203$1.18+$1.07
Will TYLOO Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? · Yes0.0050.068$1.11+$1.03
Will Shenzhen Peng City finish 3rd in the 2026 Chinese Super League? · Yes0.0100.095$1.06+$0.95
Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 15–20%? · Yes0.0010.015$0.92+$0.83
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0030.026$0.73+$0.64
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-01 House election by 3% or more? · Yes0.0120.060$0.68+$0.54
Will Becky Hammon win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award? · Yes0.0020.015$0.68+$0.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:47Will Martin Mudrák win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?SELL0.011$0.20
09-17 20:47Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 15%-18%?SELL0.011$0.10
09-17 17:17Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?SELL0.02$0.12
09-17 17:17Will Nathan Volf win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?SELL0.004$0.09
09-17 17:17Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?SELL0.005$0.09
09-17 16:24Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-07 House election?SELL0.005$0.03
09-17 16:24Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.033$0.30
09-17 16:24Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be less than 480,000?SELL0.008$0.04
09-17 16:24Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 480,000 and 520,000?SELL0.004$0.02
09-17 16:24Will Ségolène Royal win the first round of the French Socialist primary?SELL0.031$0.46
09-17 16:24Will Jan Holásek be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?SELL0.004$0.08
09-17 16:24Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 0%-20%?SELL0.007$0.10
09-17 16:24Will PARIVISION Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?SELL0.013$0.04
09-17 16:24Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 18% or more?SELL0.02$0.06
09-17 16:24Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 520,000 and 560,000?SELL0.005$0.06