mka
0xee959eb963a90534a973e562402696efe8fd02dd
- Realised P&L
- $-820.53
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $15.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$280.80at 0.064Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
- +$258.81at 0.067Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$184.23at 0.520Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?
- +$143.68at 0.114Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$57.07at 0.440Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 12:02 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-16 11:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 11:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 11:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999662 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 11:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 11:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999662 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 11:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 11:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $3.97 |
| 08-16 11:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 11:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $5.10 |
| 08-16 11:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 11:42 | Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 08-16 11:41 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.142 | $10.90 |
| 07-30 12:49 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $49.14 |
| 07-30 11:28 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999949 | $27.00 |