PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

mka

0xee959eb963a90534a973e562402696efe8fd02dd

Realised P&L
$-820.53
Volume
$15.3k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$15.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1940.075$15.26−$24.14
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$64.64
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? · No0.2940.000$0.00−$384.16
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$77.00
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? · Yes0.4280.000$0.00−$390.55
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$20.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00−$100.00
Maduro out in 2025? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.1510.000$0.00−$60.00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · No0.1000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$40.00
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-16 12:02Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
08-16 11:57Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.9399999962$5.00
08-16 11:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.92$5.00
08-16 11:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.9399999662$5.00
08-16 11:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.9399999962$5.00
08-16 11:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.9399999662$5.00
08-16 11:55Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.4699999887$5.00
08-16 11:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETSELL0.46$3.97
08-16 11:51Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.5799999954$5.00
08-16 11:51Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETSELL0.47$5.10
08-16 11:50Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.4599999595$5.00
08-16 11:42Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
08-16 11:41Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.142$10.90
07-30 12:49Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.64$49.14
07-30 11:28Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.2199999949$27.00