Azdurolum
0xee912070ecefb83bb31a2ed6daa4cfeb1e00bd14
- Realised P&L
- $-343.60
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $20.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.070 | $20.51 | −$23.44 |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.09 |
| Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.30 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.70 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in May 2026? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.53at 0.146Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$34.99at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
- +$22.24at 0.550Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
- +$19.40at 0.353Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
- +$19.00at 0.165Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 06:37 | Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.013 | $13.09 |
| 06-11 06:28 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0476856071 | $13.35 |
| 04-20 18:32 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $11.96 |
| 04-19 19:09 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $11.23 |
| 04-16 18:40 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $22.70 |
| 04-15 09:53 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.0574437497 | $12.31 |
| 04-12 18:15 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $8.27 |
| 04-12 18:15 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 04-12 18:15 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.22 |
| 04-12 17:42 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $5.47 |
| 04-11 14:51 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $24.34 |
| 04-11 14:50 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $68.60 |
| 04-11 14:14 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.73 |
| 04-11 14:13 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.077 | $2.59 |
| 04-11 14:13 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.076 | $3.34 |