tuhlodirikpp
0xee904c16fa0974cbe200499f198aaf0439d48386
- Realised P&L
- $10.80
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $320.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.966 | 0.980 | $53.22 | +$0.73 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.956 | 0.965 | $52.02 | +$0.46 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat? · Yes | 0.966 | 0.984 | $51.07 | +$0.93 |
| SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? · No | 0.978 | 0.961 | $50.28 | −$0.89 |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No | 0.948 | 0.943 | $49.70 | −$0.26 |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.966 | 0.967 | $36.41 | +$0.04 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.950 | 0.933 | $28.00 | −$0.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.35at 0.911Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.30at 0.974Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
- +$1.15at 0.977Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
- +$0.73at 0.985Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?
- +$0.65at 0.987Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 08:29 | Netanyahu out by April 30? | BUY | 0.9707142857 | $13.59 |
| 04-08 08:26 | Netanyahu out by April 30? | BUY | 0.965 | $5.78 |