0xee6fc97749109813e0b2c55ba691672c278792d9
0xee6fc97749109813e0b2c55ba691672c278792d9
- Realised P&L
- $-314.00
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 459
- Open portfolio
- $138.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded459
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.848 | 0.857 | $63.17 | +$0.65 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.568 | 0.588 | $37.05 | +$1.23 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.640 | $13.04 | +$0.81 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw? · No | 0.840 | 0.835 | $12.00 | −$0.07 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 10, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.655 | $11.56 | +$0.44 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.022 | $2.12 | −$1.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.63at 0.181Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
- +$26.48at 0.510Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-07?
- +$19.14at 0.424Fight to Go the Distance?
- +$17.36at 0.230Will the fight be won by submission?
- +$17.01at 0.327Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 20:27 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999875 | $11.12 |
| 10-08 20:17 | ZCash Up or Down - October 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7560327702 | $28.39 |
| 10-08 20:17 | Solana Up or Down - October 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999955 | $9.71 |
| 10-08 20:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8599999969 | $33.43 |
| 10-07 19:53 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.848999992 | $34.93 |
| 10-07 19:51 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw? | SELL | 0.83 | $35.77 |
| 10-07 18:32 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8399999986 | $48.28 |
| 10-07 11:56 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5679999935 | $35.82 |
| 10-07 11:53 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6003020555 | $12.23 |
| 10-07 00:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8459999778 | $27.59 |
| 09-30 16:55 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0429999998 | $4.05 |
| 09-30 16:13 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2296774194 | $4.45 |
| 09-30 16:12 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999933 | $9.10 |
| 09-30 15:56 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7650386424 | $7.71 |
| 09-30 15:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $3.50 |