PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x687ebed4d80378adb46d41af35f0bb6bef27fbe0

0xee6a1c566338d27c088369140c009d4e59a79f05

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$32.3k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$16.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1410.024$16.69$83.30
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1480.000$0.00$23.99
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00$50.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.1520.000$0.00$20.00
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00$9.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:19Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.3040834725$47.36
07-15 21:17Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5799999942$30.00
07-07 20:04Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.998$526.71
06-26 21:16Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1479999977$47.04
06-26 21:12Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0849999985$50.00
06-26 21:11Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?SELL0.1728561228$29.05
06-26 21:11Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.12$66.67
06-10 10:51Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.72$380.00
06-07 22:48US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.92$380.69
06-02 12:11US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.87$360.00
05-31 22:21Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?SELL0.99$212.14
05-31 22:21US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.994$258.18
05-31 17:43Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1799999987$100.00
05-27 13:15US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.7699999995$200.00
05-27 13:14US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.6499999991$150.00