12..
0xee4b9d64e963c292e9e5fac189fcddfbc16cc2e4
- Realised P&L
- $-17.0k
- Volume
- $2.54M
- Markets traded
- 362
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded362
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.5kat 0.726Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
- +$4.8kat 0.672Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$4.8kat 0.680Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$3.4kat 0.858Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
- +$3.0kat 0.385Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 10:39 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.7099999961 | $9.00 |
| 10-05 10:38 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $2.6k |
| 10-05 10:38 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.7 | $2.7k |
| 10-05 10:21 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.7099999997 | $515.51 |
| 10-05 10:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 10:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 10:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 10:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 10:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5024630487 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 10:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5018450182 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 10:18 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.71 | $5.0k |
| 10-03 14:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999913 | $21.17 |
| 10-03 13:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.509999987 | $11.00 |
| 10-03 13:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $11.53 |
| 10-03 13:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999981 | $65.00 |